Investment
Advice for the Next Ten Years
by Tom Madell, Ph.D.
http://funds-newsletter.com
Given that many of us
would rather not think too much
about our investments now, the following ten thoughts are designed to
be a quick read.
Thought 1: The Best
Investment For Some People May Be One with Low Volatility
Stocks are
great except
when they are falling. So, if you don't like heat, you may not want to
be in the kitchen. For all their volatility, stocks have proven to be a
good investment for those who could withstand the drastic movements and
hold on for 10, 20 or even more years at a time. If you can't honestly
say this describes you, then forget stocks.
Thought 2: Don't
Gamble - Invest.
If you were
gambling,
perhaps you had hoped to get rich by riding the huge past gains of
stocks, the same ones chosen by the masses of other people. If you were
investing, you sought out holdings that, while not chased after by most
others, offered the possibility of decent returns for those who were
patient.
Thought 3: What You
See Is Rarely What You Get
Most people
think that
what is happening in the present foretells the future. However, in
investing, this is usually not true, especially when the present "goes
to extremes". After a multi-year rally is rarely a good entry point;
after a multi-year fall is rarely a good time to assume the worst.
Thought 4: Does
Everything in Your Life Go Smoothly?
More likely,
most
things do not. So, don't think that it's going to be any different for
investing. We all face big setbacks and tremendous challenges. That's
how it is. But people who persist are usually the ones who come out
ahead.
Thought 5: Wake Up
and Smell the Alternatives
The word
"invest" has
meant only in stocks for far too many people. If you want to do better
as an investor, you should study up on other options as well. Don't
want to risk all your money in stocks? Bonds are almost always a better
investment than money market funds and your friendly bank.
Thought 6: Don't
Follow the Advice of Others When Making Your Investments
That's because
everyone's situation and risk tolerance are different. You shouldn't
follow the advice of anyone unless it fits with your picture of things.
However, you should listen to what other people might advise and then
see if, and how, you might incorporate what they are saying into your
own view. The same is true if you pay an advisor; make sure that
advisor is on your wave length!
Thought 7: The Next
Ten Years May Not Be So Good for Stocks
Although this
may be
true, what alternatives do you have? Keeping your money in a money
market account? - probably not a good idea. Making sure you own your
own home? - perhaps, but face it, real estate is subject to the same
types of highs and lows as stocks, and I don't think homes can
indefinitely go up in price at abnormally high rates either. Best idea:
Invest in a variety of different things, including a variety of
different categories of mutual funds, not just in large cap U.S.
stocks.
Thought 8: Are We
Really Headed Out of Recession?
Well, that has
certainly seemed to be the case up to now. But what if the worldwide
stock debacle continues? It is hard to believe that if people and
companies have lost as much as it now appears and this does not turn
around soon, that our economy can avoid turning downward. Ironically,
if this happens, as unfortunate as this would be for the country, it
would likely lead to continued good performance for holders of secure
bonds.
Thought 9: Are We
Becoming A Country of "Family Entrenpreneurs"?
Are we
becoming a
country where each household primarily resembles a profit and loss
entity, almost like a separate business? Within such a climate, many of
us feel compelled to work ridiculous hours and endure outlandish
commutes. And we really feel the pressure to be home owners and the
resultant pressure to maintain our home's value. And now, on top of the
other pressures, we have our stock and mutual fund investments to worry
about as well? It's no wonder that we're all feeling more than a little
stress these days. It all seems to revolve just a little too much
around money. Is this how you want to live? Let's think about relaxing
all this a little.
Thought 10: There are
10 Letters in the Word "Investment"
If you think
of each
letter as representing a year, then you will be reminded of the true
purpose of a long-term investment (as opposed to a gamble) - to help
you achieve a better life 10 or more years down the road. Anything less
than that means you probably aren't really investing; you're probably
trying for something that's more like the lottery than able to reliably
help you reach your goals.
This
article courtesy of
www.investment-index.com.
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